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Sell now or wait

Should I sell now or wait?

Most move-up sellers are stuck on the same question, and most of the answers online are a tagline. This runs the honest math instead, side by side across four timelines: sell today, wait six months, wait a year, wait two years. Sometimes waiting really is the better move. Sometimes it quietly costs you. Every rate and appreciation figure here is an assumption you can change.

The honest math


Plug in your numbers. See the math.

The defaults sketch a typical move-up so the form is useful the moment it loads. Edit anything to match your home and the one you are weighing. The math updates as you type.

Your verdict and 12-month net position are pinned to the bottom of your screen. Tap the bar to see more.

Your current home

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Not sure? Get the real number.

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Just the loan part of your payment, not taxes or insurance. Find it on your mortgage statement.

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Your next home

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Selling without buying again? Set this to roughly your current value to model a sell-only move.

Down payment on the next home
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Cost of selling

What it costs to sell decides how much you actually walk away with. Commissions are negotiable and set by agreement; buyer-agent compensation is negotiated separately. These are editable estimates.

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Sale price today $0
Less loan payoff $0
Less selling costs (7.5%) $0
Net from selling today $0

Your assumptions

These are starting points you can change, not predictions. The whole point is to see how the answer moves when they do.

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Applied to both homes. Try a low and a high figure and watch the verdict.

Where rates go from here Editable assumption

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About these estimates

Estimates only. This is not a quote, offer, pre-approval, or commitment to lend. Figures are illustrative and depend on the assumptions you choose.

This tool is for general information only. It is not legal, tax, investment, or financial advice. Consult a qualified professional for guidance specific to your situation.

Equal Housing Opportunity. Equal Housing Lender. Scott Buehler NMLS #1794818, Guild Mortgage Company NMLS #3274.

Want numbers tailored to you? Let's talk.

Your verdict

Run the math

Enter your numbers and this fills in with a plain-language read on selling now versus waiting.

Estimates only, not a quote, offer, pre-approval, or commitment to lend. Talk to Scott for your actual terms.

Wait 12 months
$0
Net vs selling now
Best wait
$0
vs selling now
Carry, 12 mo
$0
Paid while waiting a year

Side by side

Each waiting timeline measured against selling today.

Net position of selling now versus waiting 6, 12, or 24 months, based on the assumptions you entered.
Scenario Sell now Wait 6 mo Wait 12 mo Wait 24 mo

How to read the bottom row: that is your net position versus selling now. A positive, green number means waiting comes out ahead by that much. A negative, red number means waiting costs you that much. A number near zero is basically a wash, so timing and life come down to what works for you.

The assumptions behind the defaults

The starting rates and appreciation come from published, dated reference figures, blended into the presets above. They are assumptions you can edit, current as of the date below, not forecasts or a promise of where rates or prices will go.

See the sources

    When you are ready to sell

    List with Scott and get featured on Moving Utah.

    When the math and your timing line up, I will help you price it, prep it, and put it in front of buyers across the site. No best-price promises and no pressure, just a straight conversation about your options. Commission is always negotiable.

    How to read it


    Why waiting is not free.

    The lock-in pull is real. If you financed in 2020 or 2021 you may be sitting on a low rate, and trading it stings on the payment side. But the question this tool answers is not your old payment versus your new one. It is selling now versus selling later, in total dollars.

    The next home appreciates too

    If you are moving up, the more expensive next home gains in more dollars than your current home. A 3% year on a higher-priced home is a bigger number, and that gap comes straight out of your move-up math.

    Carrying costs keep running

    Taxes, insurance, any HOA, and upkeep do not pause while you wait. Every month is real money leaving your pocket, and the rate forecast has to beat that total before waiting comes out ahead.

    Forecasts get revised

    Six-month rate paths are reasonably calibrated. Twelve-month paths carry wide error bands, and twenty-four-month paths are educated guesses. That is why every rate here is yours to edit, not a number set in stone.

    Run it both ways

    Try a low and a high appreciation number. If the verdict flips between them, your decision is genuinely close, and life timing should carry the call rather than a single point estimate.

    Property type matters

    Single-family, townhome, and condo segments can move at different speeds. If your property type has been softer, set a lower appreciation figure for a more honest read on waiting.

    What this leaves out

    The headline number excludes selling costs, capital-gains tax, and moving expenses. For the full walk-away figure, run the seller net sheet, and for any tax question, talk to a CPA.

    Open the seller net sheet

    Good to know


    Questions about selling now or waiting.

    Should I sell my Utah home now or wait for rates to drop?

    It depends on the home you are selling and the one you plan to buy. For a typical move-up, selling a smaller home and buying a larger one, the math often favors selling now, because the more expensive next home appreciates in more dollars than your current home while you wait, and you pay carrying costs the whole time. For a right-size or sell-only move, the math is closer and waiting sometimes wins. Run it with both a low and a high appreciation assumption and see whether your answer changes.

    Will mortgage rates drop in 2026 or 2027?

    No one knows, and this tool does not predict it. The rate-forecast fields are assumptions you can edit, prefilled from published reference tracks, a Fannie Mae and Mortgage Bankers Association blend, as of the date shown, not a promise of where rates will go. Twelve- and twenty-four-month forecasts carry wide error bands and get revised often. If your plan to sell depends on a rate cut no one has forecast, treat that as a hope, not a plan.

    How does this calculator decide between selling now and waiting?

    For each timeline, now, six months, twelve months, and twenty-four months, it appreciates both your current home and your next home forward at the rate you choose, takes your sale price minus your loan payoff and selling costs to get your real net proceeds, uses that as your down payment, and prices the new loan at the forecast rate for that point. It then compares each waiting scenario against selling today across net proceeds, the next home's higher price, and the carrying costs you pay while you wait, and reports the net difference.

    What does the net position number include and exclude?

    It works from your real net proceeds, your sale price minus your loan payoff, agent commissions, and title and closing costs, then nets the change against the higher price of your next home and the carrying costs, taxes, insurance, any HOA, and maintenance, you pay while you wait. Commissions are negotiable and the defaults are editable. It still excludes capital-gains tax and moving expenses. For a primary residence sold under the federal exclusion the gain is often shielded, but for investment property or anything unusual, talk to a CPA.

    Is the interest rate or the appreciation a prediction?

    No. Every rate and the appreciation rate are editable assumptions with defaults drawn from dated, published reference figures. They are starting points you can change, not a forecast, an offer, or a commitment to lend. Your actual rate depends on your credit, the property, and market conditions when you lock.

    What if I want to buy before I sell?

    That is a different decision with its own math, bridge financing, double payments, and timing risk on the sale. Reach out and we can walk through it together. Scott is licensed in both real estate and mortgage lending but takes only one role on any single transaction, never both on the same home, and you are always free to choose your own agent and your own lender.

    Looking for the rest of the suite? Browse all calculators or head back to resources.


    Want a read built around your home?

    This tool is a starting point. When you want real numbers for your home, your timing, and the move you are weighing, let's talk it through together.